Welcome to Ripped — where we tear into the hobby’s biggest new releases and show you what’s actually inside.
Given how Flagship has been across the three major sports this year, we weren’t expecting that much from our two Hobby Boxes of 2026-27 Topps Flagship Basketball.
We got them on pre-order at $169.99 each. Our pre-release Wax Watch and our odds breakdown, the Wax Value Index, both called it a Rip, but only at MSRP.
After the Index, we maintained cautious optimism. The price hikes on the secondary market scared us off, and there was even some data that pointed towards retail being a better buy than hobby because of it. But we still felt the wax could be worth the rip at market price.
We want to see after having the product in hand if our verdict still stands, or if we’re forced to change it.
Let’s rip in.
Base
We’ve talked about the base design ad nauseam. All year. We like the design. It’s wearing a little thin on us. It would be nice if Topps didn’t recycle the same designs for the three major sports each season. The jersey pattern on the left side of the card matches the jersey material for each sport, but that’s more of a subtle nod than a change in design.
What we really admire about Basketball is the choice of photography. Every player is shown in action from some pretty unique angles. Our favorites are the shots from the top of the basket or the bird’s-eye-view looking down at the key. With photography this cool in Flagship, Topps will really have to up their game for Stadium Club this year.
QC was what you’d expect for Flagship. Not every card was perfect looking, but we’d say about 90% of the base cards would grade a 9 or higher. Centering looked good too.
No base variations in our rip (not a shock, since any of them turns up in only about 1 in 6 Hobby Boxes).
Verdict: A — Solid, but the 2027 design can’t come soon enough.
Inserts
The insert designs are great. They’re creative, and different from what we’ve seen in the other sports this year.
The one exception? Stars of NBA. Maybe we’re just scarred from the hundreds we pulled out of baseball for each of the past few years, but even coming out of packs less frequently, we just aren’t interested. The design was bland, and this year it was actually a bit of a tease.
It’s awfully close to the design used for the Baseball Stars autographs in 2026 Topps Baseball. When that star pattern poked through as we were going through the pack, we got excited because we thought we hit an auto. Lo and behold, it was just one of our least favorite inserts Topps has ever produced (Whomp whomp).
Despite that, all of the other inserts we pulled were great. Levitation had to be our favorite, though.
It’s the kind of over-the-top concept that made ’90s inserts so much fun, built with modern foil and photo work. A player dunking off the moon with Earth in the background? Doesn’t get much more ’90s than that.
We know they’re common and not original, but we can’t help but love the look of the 1981-82 cards. It’s a set we’re seriously considering collecting once prices drop a little bit.
Quality control in the inserts was good, but we did pull one insert that had seen better days.
When there’s only one card in the pack with that kind of damage, you know it had to be done during collation.
Verdict: A — A slew of creative, fun designs that perfectly ride the line of modern while striking that nostalgia chord.
Parallels
Parallels look good. The colors are great, and QC is on point.
We pulled four numbered parallels: a Gold /2026, a Purple Rainbow /250, a Blue Rainbow /150 and a Black /75. Finishes were excellent on all of them, with clean edges, minimal foilboard peeling and sharp corners. Even our Black /75 looked good, and that’s not always the case for a full-bleed black border.
The other eight parallels were split evenly between Rainbow Foilboard and Victory. We had one dinged corner on a Rainbow Foilboard, but a single minor ding out of the multitude of parallels we pulled is permissible, especially on a common parallel.
Victory is a parallel exclusive to Hobby Boxes, and we gotta say we aren’t the biggest fans of this one. The design is messy. Its checkerboard-ish pattern becomes more of a distraction than an enhancement. It’s the type of gimmicky parallel we’d expect to see from Hoops. We would have rather just pulled more Rainbow Foilboards.
Verdict: A- — Great color, clean edges. But exclusive parallels could use a little work.
Hit Consistency
Product odds tell one story. Actual pack distribution tells another.
Going into our rip, the odds looked pretty good that we would get one auto and one relic between our two boxes. We figured we’d get a ton of base rookies, maybe a few rookie inserts, and one to two numbered parallels per box.
🔥 = Better than expected hits
Our Rip: 2x Hobby Boxes
Hobby Box #1
1x Relic • 2x Numbered Parallels • 4x Parallels • 1x SP Insert • 12x Inserts
Hobby Box #2
1x Relic • 2x Numbered Parallels • 4x Parallels • 1x SP Insert • 12x Inserts
Stack our rip against the average and most of it lands right on par. Parallels, numbered cards and regular inserts all came in about where two Hobby Boxes should. We got two relics instead of our projected relic and auto, but that’s just the luck of the draw.
We’ll give credit where credit is due. There were very few packs that had nothing in them. Only two in each box, which is a lot better than Flagship Football and Baseball. There’s at least an insert to pull in most of the packs. It’s something we’ve complained about all year, and it looks like it’s finally been addressed.
But that’s all the good news we have.
Let’s talk about the collation. It’s too perfect. We track every pack by quadrant (Q1 to Q4, five packs each), and our two boxes lined up exactly.
The hit slot was Q1, Pack 1. That’s where both relics sat. The numbered parallels both sat in Q1, Pack 3 and Q4, Pack 3. Our Levitation Rookies both came in Q3, Pack 1. While two boxes don’t prove a pattern, it sure looks like Q3, Pack 1 is the rare insert slot. Even the pack with two parallels (one Victory and one Rainbow Foilboard) was in the same spot in each box.
This isn’t great. Our longtime readers know that pack collation is never truly random. But what we’re seeing out of this release is as bad as it gets. We can’t stress enough.
Never buy loose packs unless you can pick the pack yourself straight out of the box.
But predictable packs aren’t the biggest problem here. Not even close. There’s something about these Hobby Boxes that we can’t just chalk up to bad luck.
In our two Hobby Boxes, 40 packs, 480 total cards, not one of them was a base rookie card. We got rookie inserts and a couple rookie parallels. But absolutely no base.
It left us speechless.
Rookie cards are the bread and butter of the hobby. It’s absolutely dumbfounding that collectors who pay a premium for a hobby format over retail would get skunked on something as integral to a sports card product as a base rookie card.
Turns out, we aren’t the only ones to complain about it. It’s become more of a widespread issue we’ve seen pop up in multiple corners of the hobby online.
All over X, people are recommending that you submit your box as a defect on Topps’ website. We did that, and we’ll update this article with any new information that comes of it.
This is the first time we’re putting a grade on Hit Consistency. In the past, it felt weird to grade it, since we usually rip only one format. But this collation was so bad it changed our minds. It’s your prototypical F. It’s a big collation issue, and we’d be remiss not to call Topps out on it.
Verdict: F — Pack-by-pack predictability plus no base rookie cards in a premium format? WTF!
Final Thoughts
We weren’t expecting much going in, and somehow what we got was worse. It’s a shame, because we really do like the cards. But the collation issues are just too big to ignore here.
After our account, we can’t in good conscience say to go out and rip this.
You could argue that retail is still rippable, but the odds show that near everything that isn’t retail exclusive is going to be a tough pull. So, with prices as high as they are and given the popularity of basketball cards right now, Flagship Basketball is becoming the type of product where we’ll buy the singles and flip the wax.
Whether you’re ripping or flipping, stay away from Hobby Boxes. Word is already catching on about how bad this format is, and secondary market prices have been dropping incrementally all week. If you still have some sealed in your possession, we’d strongly advise selling now before prices drop any lower.
Our rip of two Hobby Boxes all but solidifies Fat Packs as the most valuable format, at least until the All-Star Game Mega Boxes come out in February. For the same price as a Hobby Box, on average, Fat Packs will give you about three times the parallels, five times the inserts, and slightly more numbered cards, autos and relics than one Hobby Box.
Ripping Flagship has been exhausting all year. Now that we’re coming to the end of 2026, our general thought is that it’s becoming too overprinted to be a fun rip for the average collector who can only shell out enough for a single Hobby Box or a few Value Boxes.
Next year, we’re going to play it differently. We will no longer be pre-ordering Flagship Hobby Boxes. Too often, these have not been worth the rip. Instead, we’re going to wait for the odds and put that money towards whatever format our Value Index points us towards.
Buy the singles. Flip the wax.
Final Verdict: Flip
🏆 Most Valuable Format: Fat Packs
Hit Me!
Check out some of what we pulled below! If you ripped any yourself, drop your best hits in the comments.
Disclaimer: The content in The Hobby Wire is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Commentary, analysis, and opinions on sports cards, rookies, and the hobby are not financial, investment, or professional advice. Collectors should always do their own research before buying, selling, or trading cards. Market values are volatile and can change rapidly—past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Unless specified, all pricing references are based on the Prizm/Refractor parallels of an athlete’s Chrome rookie card, with prices from market movers, alt.xyz & 130pt.com.
Any odds mentioned were derived from DraftKings Sportsbook.

















Honestly, this is a fair assessment. I did rip mine (2 hobby and a jumbo) and was lucky enough to get autos in both hobbies and a wood in the jumbo. Probably did better than most since I’m sitting at about a 50% ROI if I were to sell the hits. I was lucky enough to get a complete set of base. What sucks is that it took more than a jumbo an a hobby to do it and it wasn’t the rookie collation issue that slowed me down.
I’ve been waiting for 16 fat packs to get here that I bought for 6.99 each based on the first article. Hobby was already $250 when I was shopping around so I skipped that